This blog article summarizes a recent research article published in Politique Etrangère. Reference: Norbert Gaillard, “Le concept de risque pays”, Politique Etrangère, 80(2), Summer 2015. It is difficult to determine Continue ReadingUnderstanding Country Risk
Credit rating agencies have historically failed to anticipate the public debt crises in rich countries. This Wikirating blog article describes how Moody’s sovereign rating methodology has been modified in the Continue ReadingHow Moody’s has drawn the lessons from the Eurozone debt crisis
This column explains how and why sovereign ratings and bond yields failed to anticipate the Eurozone debt crisis. It also argues that, paradoxically, sovereign ratings are now valuable risk indicators Continue ReadingEurozone, Sovereign Ratings and Bond Yields
The sovereign and municipal debt crisis of the early 2010s is finished. Overblown predictions of a credit meltdown among European sovereigns, US states and cities, and other advanced economy governments Continue ReadingGovernment Credit Crisis Over – So Where are the Upgrades
Regulation (EU) no. 462/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2013 requires credit rating agencies to publish a calendar of their sovereign and subsovereign rating Continue ReadingIs the Eurozone Debt Crisis Over? The View from Moody’s
On November 28, 2001 Enron lost its investment grade credit rating. Four days later, the company filed for bankruptcy. Those awaiting a similar collapse after Puerto Rico’s descent into junk Continue ReadingPuerto Rico Rating Downgrades: Enron Redux?