In its settlement with the Department of Justice, S&P has backed off its assertion that the federal lawsuit was filed in retaliation for its 2011 downgrade of US Treasury debt. Continue ReadingS&P Settles: Now How About that US Bond Rating?
On January 21, S&P settled a number of complaints with the Securities and Exchange Commission as well as two states’ attorneys general. The issues primarily involved ratings of Commercial Mortgage Continue ReadingSEC Shines a Light on Inflated CMBS Ratings
This article summarizes the book “When Sovereigns Go Bankrupt” (Gaillard 2014), which provides a fresh analysis of how to cope with sovereign risk in the context of a rising likelihood Continue ReadingWhen Sovereigns Go Bankrupt
Credit rating agencies have historically failed to anticipate the public debt crises in rich countries. This Wikirating blog article describes how Moody’s sovereign rating methodology has been modified in the Continue ReadingHow Moody’s has drawn the lessons from the Eurozone debt crisis
This column explains how and why sovereign ratings and bond yields failed to anticipate the Eurozone debt crisis. It also argues that, paradoxically, sovereign ratings are now valuable risk indicators Continue ReadingEurozone, Sovereign Ratings and Bond Yields
The sovereign and municipal debt crisis of the early 2010s is finished. Overblown predictions of a credit meltdown among European sovereigns, US states and cities, and other advanced economy governments Continue ReadingGovernment Credit Crisis Over – So Where are the Upgrades
Regulation (EU) no. 462/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2013 requires credit rating agencies to publish a calendar of their sovereign and subsovereign rating Continue ReadingIs the Eurozone Debt Crisis Over? The View from Moody’s
Wikirating is publishing two letters and one e-mail in which I map risks to an asset-backed security (ABS) when the issuer is party to a swap contract, a widely used Continue ReadingEntire Financial System Needs Commonsense Review of Derivative Contracts: Let’s Start with ABS
Since the 2008 financial crisis, regulators, policymakers and the “too big to fail” (TBTF) banks around the world have been developing new ways to resolve insolvent TBTF banks without the Continue ReadingUnderstanding CoCo Bonds: A New Source of Systemic Risk
On November 28, 2001 Enron lost its investment grade credit rating. Four days later, the company filed for bankruptcy. Those awaiting a similar collapse after Puerto Rico’s descent into junk Continue ReadingPuerto Rico Rating Downgrades: Enron Redux?